First Alert Forecast: Fair weather Friday, but tracking some weekend rain

ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WHEC) – As promised, most of our area picked up a soaking half inch to 1" of rain Thursday morning. Drier air thanks to high pressure builds in for Friday, giving us a pleasant end to the work week with dry weather and a fair amount of sun.

The weekend isn’t bad, but we will have to work around a little wet weather. Saturday should be the drier weekend day, with any widespread rain moving well south of NYS. But, a few isolated afternoon showers will likely pop up, thanks to cooler air aloft. Sunday starts off dry, but showers will move in by afternoon, with some storms possible by late afternoon and evening. Then we’ll dry out again for Monday and Tuesday.

As far as storms go, we don’t anticipate severe weather on Sunday, but some lightning is possible. The pattern turns more summery next week, with a massive ridge building into the central US, producing big time heat. We’ll tend to see clusters of thunderstorms riding along the crest of that ridge. As that ridge tries to nose east into the eastern Great Lakes, the storm threat also shifts east.

So, our storm chances may gradually go up by Tuesday through Thursday of next week, as the temperatures go up. Timing these out this far out is impossible, but if this overall pattern holds, expect a few storms by the middle of next week. We’ll of course, keep you updated on any storm chances as we get a little closer. For now, we’re GREEN on the First Alert Threat Tracker.
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