First Alert Weather: ‘All I Want for Christmas is a Little Snow’

ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WHEC) — As we get closer to the Christmas holiday, we see a lot of small adjustments in the computer modeling.

However, there has not been enough change to make any significant adjustments to the News10NBC First Alert 10 day forecast. As a result, the big picture shows some occasional snow showers at times, but only small accumulations are likely. We will continue to watch for any trends, but at least for now there is no significant weather slow you down for the next couple of days.

Tonight will bring mainly clear skies for the early evening with clouds increasing later tonight. We do see a few snow showers developing toward morning, but any accumulation should be limited to just a coating of snow. The temperature will fall to within a few degrees of 30. Wednesday skies may brighten from time to time with a chance of passing flurries or a snow shower. The temperature will remain in the mid-30s. Once again tie down the outside holiday decorations as the most significant impact will be the gusty winds which will increase out of the northwest at 15 to 35 miles per hour for the afternoon.

The winds should diminish Wednesday night, but as a cold front moves through, the temperature will be falling into the mid-20s. This will increase the likelihood of lake effect snow developing off Lake Ontario. Some accumulation is expected in the most persistent snow which would be north of the New York State Thruway. Most communities will see an inch or less, but 1 to 3 inches will be possible by morning east of Rochester into Wayne County.

Any lingering lake flurries will end early on Thursday with mostly cloudy skies. Once again the temperature will be in the mid-30s. The News10NBC First Alert meteorologists will be watching for a more general, area wide light snowfall Thursday night. However, once again, any accumulation should be limited to another coating to an inch.

It still appears that any snow for Christmas morning will be hard to come by for Western New York. Milder air will be making it into the Great Lakes and this will do two things. First, any snow still on the ground will be melting and second, any precipitation will likely be a mix of rain and wet snow. Judging by the latest weather data, a white Christmas is not likely.

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