First Alert Weather: Cloudy, wet and mild end to 2021

ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WHEC) — We won’t see much change in the weather we’ve seen over the last day or two, with lots of clouds, but little falling from them. We won’t see much forcing in the atmosphere, meaning nothing to help produce much in the way of rain or snow. We’ll remain on the milder side of things, with temperatures not falling below freezing overnight, and topping out in the mid to upper 40s for the last day of 2021.

Friday will feature a few passing rain showers, especially early in the day, and perhaps later in the evening. If you have New Year’s Eve plans, you can leave the heavier jacket, but perhaps bring something with a hood for a few raindrops.

2022 will also begin on a wet and mild note, but only temporarily. Saturday will see showers ramping up during the afternoon, and becoming steady by evening as a wave of low pressure passes overhead or just south of Rochester. The track of this will keep the majority of precipitation falling as rain.

Colder air begins to work in by early Sunday morning, allowing for a changeover to wet snow. But, it is looking like most of the moisture will be east of us at this point, leaving us with perhaps a coating to an inch or two of snow Sunday morning, followed by some limited lake effect. The bigger story on Sunday will likely be the drop in temperatures. We’ll fall from the mid to upper 40s on Saturday, to the 20s by Sunday afternoon.

Wind chills will drop into the single digits by early Monday morning. While we will feel the winter chill early in the new year, we’ll still be waiting for the snow.

Much of next week will be fairly quiet once again, but we’re keeping an eye on the potential for another storm system by late next week or into the weekend. Timing, location and strength are still being worked out this far out, but it is something to track for the first week of the new year.

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