First Alert Weather: Rain gear needed for the rest of the week

ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WHEC) — Tuesday is a drier start compared to Monday but a better chance for rain is expected for Tuesday.

The warm front has lifted north, but now a cold front will move through our region today bringing us a good chance for widespread rain. Rain is expected to roll into our region after 9 a.m. and continue into the early afternoon before becoming isolated toward the evening commute today.

There will be a few changes from Monday’s weather. The cold front will swing through during the evening commute as opposed to Monday when we expected it to roll through towards the middle of the day. This means that there will be a bit more instability across our region which opens the door for a thunderstorm or two during the afternoon.

With the extra instability in place, we may see a gusty storm for areas south and east of Rochester. The storm threat diminishes significantly after the front passes through and on the backside we may have a few leftover showers before things dry out tonight.

A break in the wet weather is on the way with cooler and comfier conditions, along with sunshine, for Wednesday but wet weather quickly returns to the forecast for Thursday.

A second wave of low pressure will form along the cold front that swings through Tuesday and bring us rain for Thursday. Showers on Thursday could be heavy at times, and the timing of the showers looks to be Thursday morning through the afternoon before things dry out late.

Then, after a dry Friday, the showers will return for the weekend. A little more uncertainty for the weekend as models differ just a bit, but the chances for showers increase on Saturday.

Another area of low pressure will form along the East Coast this weekend with an opportunity for widespread rain Saturday before an isolated shower Sunday. Uncertainty remains on where low-pressure forms and tracks, and this is key as to where the heaviest of rain will fall and how much of a washout it may be Saturday.

As of now, showers are in the forecast for Saturday but the First Alert Weather Team will continue to monitor trends for the upcoming weekend.

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